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. >> a new national washington post poll of likely voters shows president obama polling at 49% and mitt romney at 47% but among likely voters in the swing states, president obama leads mitt romney by 11 points. 52%-41%. tonight the forecast is president obama will within 320 ele electoral college votes. joining me now is steve and karen. karen, the expectation game has gotten really out of hand this time. finally chris christie, for whatever reason, just kind of gave up and stated the obvious and said well, of course. you know, mitt romney has to be the big winner on this first debate. >> well, i think he was like look, let me keep my credibility in check because he's been watching what has happened to congressman ryan over the course of this campaign. but i think each man has a different thing they need to accomplish. i think for governor romney he needs to have a strong performan performance. it's not just about one performance for him. his problem is a lack of consistency. he's got to have a good wednesday, thursday, friday, saturday. every day to the election. if you see him give on
. >> a new national washington post poll of likely voters shows president obama polling at 49% and mitt romney at 47% but among likely voters in the swing states, president obama leads mitt romney by 11 points. 52%-41%. tonight the forecast is president obama will within 320 ele electoral college votes. joining me now is steve and karen. karen, the expectation game has gotten really out of hand this time. finally chris christie, for whatever reason, just kind of gave up and stated the...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right now the obama campaign is solidly and consistently ahead. tactically what that means is the obama campaign has to convert being ahead in people's preferences to actual votes. since they are clearly ahead, a good time to get those votes cast is right now. because thanks to early voting, people are casting ballots right now. so this lead that they have now in the polls can be banked. it can be turned into actual votes while they're still ahead, even if they don't end up being this far ahead by election day. iowa became the first swing state in the nation where voters are actua
the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right now...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up a by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting n next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right now the obama campaign is solidly and consistently ahead. tactically what that means is the obama campaign has to convert being ahead in people's preferences to actual votes. since they are clearly ahead, a good time to get those votes cast is right now. because thanks to early voting, people are casting ballots right now. so this lead that they have now in the polls can be banked. it can be turned into actual votes while they're still ahead, even if they don't end up being this far ahead by election day. iowa became the first swing state in the nation where voters are a
the latest fox news national polls shows president obama up a by 5 points. that's the fox news poll. the gallup daily tracking poll had been close. now gallup shows president obama up a by 6. even the quite ostentatiously republican leaning rasmussen poll gives president obama a 1-point lead nationally. in the states that matter, the obama campaign is ahead. things could change. we've got the debate starting n next week, there's long way to go, it's politics, anything could happen. but right...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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polls show him trailing president obama by as much as 11 points. the latest poll puts the score at 54 to 43. is pennsylvania in play? let's bring in former pennsylvania governor ed rendell who knows pennsylvania like no other. welcome. >> hi, alex. >> we want to talk about the fund-raiser. it's been on the governor's schedule for a while. he's not been in your state campaigning since mid-summer, so why now? >> i don't think they intended to have this rally, but i think the pennsylvania state republican party pressured them into having a rally. they're not playing in pennsylvania right now, and unless the polls improve significantly, i don't think they'll play much at this point. president obama's been very, very popular in the southeast, in the philadelphia suburbs and the city itself. it's a real tough hurdle to overcome. but interestingly, ohio, pennsylvania, florida, none of them according to the time's poll looked promising and no candidate can win without winning at least one of those three states. >> as a political veteran, you know well it's
polls show him trailing president obama by as much as 11 points. the latest poll puts the score at 54 to 43. is pennsylvania in play? let's bring in former pennsylvania governor ed rendell who knows pennsylvania like no other. welcome. >> hi, alex. >> we want to talk about the fund-raiser. it's been on the governor's schedule for a while. he's not been in your state campaigning since mid-summer, so why now? >> i don't think they intended to have this rally, but i think the...
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Oct 2, 2012
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. >> so jonathan, pugh had an interesting poll showing that president obama is expected to win the debate by a51% and mitt romney by 29%. it seems like president obama is more highly anticipated as the winner of the debate. do these sort of expectations setting games actually work for voters? >> i don't think they matter too much for the voters. it's a lot of fun for us to talk about. you know, as the comedy that you were just playing before suggested, if either one of these guys gets a complete sentence out, it should be a surprise to all of us. look, i think that it -- it matters a little bit on the margins, working the reporters who then report to the public. by and large i think the public is pretty good at making its own judgments. i don't think people walk in going, well, my expectations is about a 4, so if he gets a 6, i'll vote for him. if he gets a 5, no way. i don't think it works that way for most voters. >> i saw an interesting tweet come across the twitter this morning from carole simpson. she said debates are about style and not substance, despite what campaigns say. does he
. >> so jonathan, pugh had an interesting poll showing that president obama is expected to win the debate by a51% and mitt romney by 29%. it seems like president obama is more highly anticipated as the winner of the debate. do these sort of expectations setting games actually work for voters? >> i don't think they matter too much for the voters. it's a lot of fun for us to talk about. you know, as the comedy that you were just playing before suggested, if either one of these guys...
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Oct 2, 2012
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the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential debates. and there's probably two or three hundred million ads to be dumped on the public. things change in presidential campaigns quite actively in september and early october. it's now that you start looking at serious numbers. the carter/reagan race didn't change until the last few weeks. there's a close parallel between this and carter/reagan. >> let me ask you about new hampshire's poll. i'm sure you didn't miss it. 15-point deficit for mitt romney. i'm guessing you'll argue with some parts. >> i'm not going to argue with it at all. do you really bel
the bad news is, president obama's number hasn't moved. so the bounce that he got into the 49, 50% range has held where it's governor romney's number that is fluid. are you one of those that believe that 49, 50% is the winning range? so that your next job, you're in the race, then the next job is you have to figure out how to peel votes away. >> you look at this in the context of where we are. there's five-plus weeks. there's a lot that can happen in five weeks. there's three presidential...
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Sep 26, 2012
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there's a reason president obama is ahead in the last 20 national polls. there's a reason he's up by eight in the latest "washington post" poll in ohio. his campaign is doing more and whichever way you squint at the data, president obama is winning his effort at reelection. now is when you see the signs of desperation. there are two kinds of political desperatn. paoninveing a whole und dember new polling method whereby your guy wins all the time instead of losingll the time because even fox news is in on the conspiracy to make it look like obama is wiing, that's aboveground despation. at least it's happening in the light of day where everybody can see it. here's what's happening a little below the surface on the right. this is what underground political desperation looks like 41 days before the ection when the republican candidate is clearly losing. this is a web just been released by a conservative outside group accusing president obama of being in bed with the muslim brotherhood, which by the way, is trying to take over america. the group r this ad says
there's a reason president obama is ahead in the last 20 national polls. there's a reason he's up by eight in the latest "washington post" poll in ohio. his campaign is doing more and whichever way you squint at the data, president obama is winning his effort at reelection. now is when you see the signs of desperation. there are two kinds of political desperatn. paoninveing a whole und dember new polling method whereby your guy wins all the time instead of losingll the time because...
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Sep 26, 2012
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but 20 straight national polls showg president obama ahead. that's what you call a tren no wernoatnd i depressing to republicans or whether it fires them up to try to do better for their candidate, honestly the wisdom is that one of the most consequential things that can haen because of polling like thrks one of the the things that lling can cause is that it can have a fatal affect on fundraising. it's interesting. politico.com had a big picture review of the romney campaign struggl struggles. it includedsceve sith published it. quote, to get a flavor of the challenge before them, one top donor said that after mitt romney spoke at a fundraising breakfast on friday, a will-mitt n who paid to attend that o fundraiser. so at their table of ten men, they asked each other, will mitt win? of the ten men, not a single man said yes. of ten active mitromney supporters were actely or hthat moment with their money, zero said he will n. and they admit to that at the fundraiser. that's not a phenomenon that can last a super long time. you don't get to sit
but 20 straight national polls showg president obama ahead. that's what you call a tren no wernoatnd i depressing to republicans or whether it fires them up to try to do better for their candidate, honestly the wisdom is that one of the most consequential things that can haen because of polling like thrks one of the the things that lling can cause is that it can have a fatal affect on fundraising. it's interesting. politico.com had a big picture review of the romney campaign struggl struggles....
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Oct 3, 2012
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this is the latest cnn orc poll of latino voters. president obama, the clear favorite over mitt romney, leading 70% to 26%. you can fairly say that's not even close and it is well outside the margin of error and that's critical because you know there is a saying that there is power in numbers. at least 12.2 million people expected to show up at the polls on election day. but that's barely half of latinos who are eligible to vote. and it could come down to location, location, location. the hispanic vote could be the deciding factor in several states, including the swing state of nevada. which is where miguel marquez takes us in the battle to win their vote. >> reporter: it might sound like mexico. but this is the fight for the white house. welcome to washo county, nevada, the front line in this battleground state. washo county's 250,000 voters are expected to decide whether the nevada goes blue or red. and latinos, about 30,000 votes here, could make the critical difference in a race that could come down to a few thousand votes. here'
this is the latest cnn orc poll of latino voters. president obama, the clear favorite over mitt romney, leading 70% to 26%. you can fairly say that's not even close and it is well outside the margin of error and that's critical because you know there is a saying that there is power in numbers. at least 12.2 million people expected to show up at the polls on election day. but that's barely half of latinos who are eligible to vote. and it could come down to location, location, location. the...
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Oct 2, 2012
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new polls out from quinnipiac university show president obama with a narrow lead heading into wednesday's debate. president obama leading 49% among likely voters. but when it comes to women, president obama has stretched a lead to 18 points, 56% to 38%. the gap tightens when it comes to which candidate would better handle the economy, just one point separates them. when asked who would win tomorrow night's debate, the president nearly doubles mitt romney 54% to 28%. that doesn't mean anything. with us from denver, host of "the daily rundown," chuck todd standing in the dark in denver. chuck, break down the polls for us. >> well, you know, it's been interesting about him. we've got a new poll that comes out tonight. what i've thought interesting about the polls in the last few days, quinnipiac, cnn, they all show the same thing. the president's number, the bounce he got out of the convention, it has not deflated. he is staying in the 49%, 50%. >> granholm. >> the fluidity is in romney's number. romney is anywhere, instead of sitting in the single digits, instead of the low 40s, he's moved
new polls out from quinnipiac university show president obama with a narrow lead heading into wednesday's debate. president obama leading 49% among likely voters. but when it comes to women, president obama has stretched a lead to 18 points, 56% to 38%. the gap tightens when it comes to which candidate would better handle the economy, just one point separates them. when asked who would win tomorrow night's debate, the president nearly doubles mitt romney 54% to 28%. that doesn't mean anything....
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according to that poll, the des moines register poll in iowa, president obama is leading by four points. there are a ton of national tracking polls out today. and spoiler alert, they all show president obama ahead by a few points. in terms of the senate races, that same columbus poll out of ohio that shows president obama ahead it shows sherrod brown leading by ten points. heading into the elizabeth warren and scot brown debate in massachusetts, we'll be talking about that in a moment, there's a new poll out today in massachusetts that has elizabeth warren over scott brown by two. in pennsylvania, a newspaper poll released over the weekend put the democrat in that race bob casey ahead of his republican challenger by eight points. as mitt romney's, shall we say, second place standing starts to look like more and more of a permanent residence as it seems like a long shot for winning the presidency, the down ticket effect of that is starting to become a bigger part of the conversation. you saw a manifestation of that last week on this show when nancy pelosi came on this show and said, esse
according to that poll, the des moines register poll in iowa, president obama is leading by four points. there are a ton of national tracking polls out today. and spoiler alert, they all show president obama ahead by a few points. in terms of the senate races, that same columbus poll out of ohio that shows president obama ahead it shows sherrod brown leading by ten points. heading into the elizabeth warren and scot brown debate in massachusetts, we'll be talking about that in a moment, there's...
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Sep 27, 2012
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in a fox news poll, president obama leads by seven points. a "washington postpoll puts the presidt up by eight points ino. d the most recent poll by cbs and "the new york times" has president obama leading by ten points. romney was in ohio today, making a new pitch to voters. he's the guy who understands their pain. >> the a so many iour coy aur r i want to help them. i know what it takes to get an economy going again and creating jobs. >> voters in ohio don't believe romney on this front at all. when it comes to the economy, 51% of ohio voters say they trust president obama against 45% of voters who trust mitt romney. obama has an advantage on the economy in ohio, because basically, this state is a national success story when it comes to the economy. listen to mitt romney's ohio surrogate, governor john kasich. doesn't sound like there's much reason for ohio terso make a ange >> you know, i hope you all know that ohio's coming back from 48th in job creation to number four, number one in the midwest. from9 cents and a rainy day fund to $5 mil
in a fox news poll, president obama leads by seven points. a "washington postpoll puts the presidt up by eight points ino. d the most recent poll by cbs and "the new york times" has president obama leading by ten points. romney was in ohio today, making a new pitch to voters. he's the guy who understands their pain. >> the a so many iour coy aur r i want to help them. i know what it takes to get an economy going again and creating jobs. >> voters in ohio don't believe...
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Sep 29, 2012
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the galup tracking poll shows obama up six points. it's pretty hard to survey the polling data and not come to the conclusion that barack obama is beating mitt romney, that if the election were held today barack obama would win and that romney has a relatively steep though certainly not insurmountable uphill climb to victory. that is if you operate in the alternate epi stem mick universe of the media. >> that begs the question, are these polls dishonest? >> no. look, we endo you them with a falls scientific precision. >> these polls, i don't pay attention to them. >> polling is very good at saying how you're going to vote. it's very bad at saying who's going to vote. >> these two polls today are designed to convince everybody this election is over. >> we should note that fox news's own polls have been pretty much in line with everyone else's, but it's not just observers making the claim the polls are rigged. the romney campaign itself is now getting in on the act. >> some of these polls have been called into question because they assu
the galup tracking poll shows obama up six points. it's pretty hard to survey the polling data and not come to the conclusion that barack obama is beating mitt romney, that if the election were held today barack obama would win and that romney has a relatively steep though certainly not insurmountable uphill climb to victory. that is if you operate in the alternate epi stem mick universe of the media. >> that begs the question, are these polls dishonest? >> no. look, we endo you...
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Sep 25, 2012
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and saying in this latest poll obama is up by 7 in iowa. i wonder if he'll hold on to that lead until election day. but now you look at the polling in iowa and say obama is up by 7 in iowa and people are voting in iowa as of this week. with early voting, every day from now until november 6th is election day. that not only saps some of the value out of the debates, which start next week, it also undercuts the potential potency of october surprise. in the associated press write up of this early voting phenomenon this year, the write up, they quote a professor who is an expert on election statistics. if you have the game changer, you've got to do that soon. if you wait until the weekend prior to the election to release your stink bomb, you've lost coloradans, and he's right. that's one of the battleground states where most ballots are expected to be cast early. by election day, colorado will already be mostly decided. so if you're losing today, at this point in the campaign, hurry up and fix it. mitt romney's campaign adviser said back in marc
and saying in this latest poll obama is up by 7 in iowa. i wonder if he'll hold on to that lead until election day. but now you look at the polling in iowa and say obama is up by 7 in iowa and people are voting in iowa as of this week. with early voting, every day from now until november 6th is election day. that not only saps some of the value out of the debates, which start next week, it also undercuts the potential potency of october surprise. in the associated press write up of this early...
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Sep 27, 2012
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new polling by "the new york times" and quinnipiac has president obama up in florida by nine points. in ohio, president obama up by ten points. est a y oias there are otr smaller and more local polls that have the margins slightly smaller in pennsylvania and florida today, but those other pollalso show president obama winning in the swing states. a new ppp poll in iowa today shows president obama leading in io bvein ie mtiol colorado showing president obama leading in colorado by four points. nationally, president obama has seen his lead rebound in recent days. in the gallup daily tracking point, he initially got a six-point bounce out of the democratic convention. that lead evaporated in e ys n pdebaas tow au regained that six-point lead as if he just did the conventions all over again. with just 41 days left until the election, a snapshot of the race is very clear. in fact, we do these polls every day and it's almost starting to seem static at the presidential lel. thswstpolls that we do every day, pretty much the map always look like this. president obama leading in all of the swi
new polling by "the new york times" and quinnipiac has president obama up in florida by nine points. in ohio, president obama up by ten points. est a y oias there are otr smaller and more local polls that have the margins slightly smaller in pennsylvania and florida today, but those other pollalso show president obama winning in the swing states. a new ppp poll in iowa today shows president obama leading in io bvein ie mtiol colorado showing president obama leading in colorado by four...
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Oct 3, 2012
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shows that among likely voters president obama polls at 49% and mitt romney at 46%. tonight, night silver of the new york times blog, forecasts that on november 6 obama will win 318 votes and mitt romney will win 219. and president obama's chance of winning the election is now at 84.7%. joining me now john hiel man and krystal ball. when i see him out at hoover dam today, i think we are going to hear some sort of rachel like ode to hoover dam in the debate and the power of federal infrastructure spending and what it can do to this country and the economy. >> i think you're absolutely right. that is the core message. it's we're in it together versus you're on your own. and to that point, mitt romney still has never really come up with a coherent explanation, because there isn't one, for his comments about the 47%. so as they're talking about the zingers he's been preparing for this debate and how he's been practicing for months, there's no verbal strik to get you out of that box. and there's also nothing you can do to avoid the fact that your positions have changed so
shows that among likely voters president obama polls at 49% and mitt romney at 46%. tonight, night silver of the new york times blog, forecasts that on november 6 obama will win 318 votes and mitt romney will win 219. and president obama's chance of winning the election is now at 84.7%. joining me now john hiel man and krystal ball. when i see him out at hoover dam today, i think we are going to hear some sort of rachel like ode to hoover dam in the debate and the power of federal...
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you know ginning up the fear of obama that will trump and polls have shown us that race trumps religion as well when it comes to just a dull stand thanks always a great reporting for having done so much for being with us. coming up if you're opposed to drones the newest cash cows of our military industrial complex then you probably shouldn't vote for mitt romney or president obama because they both love them fortunately there's one candidate for president who wants to say no to drones and no two americans addiction to war we'll talk to actress and presidential candidate roseanne barr after the break. here is mitt romney trying to figure out the name of that thing that many americans call a donor. i'm sorry i'm just a guy who cares an awful lot about my country you sir are a fool you know what kind of my other terrorist cells you know want to give us a defeat terrorism the only liberal the christian jews can really do about it but. you know the corporate media distracts us from what you and i should care about because they're a profit driven industry that sells a sensationalistic garbage
you know ginning up the fear of obama that will trump and polls have shown us that race trumps religion as well when it comes to just a dull stand thanks always a great reporting for having done so much for being with us. coming up if you're opposed to drones the newest cash cows of our military industrial complex then you probably shouldn't vote for mitt romney or president obama because they both love them fortunately there's one candidate for president who wants to say no to drones and no...
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but no matter how it's absurd you think a push poll comparing obama to hitler and castro may be make no mistake about it ralph reed is a force to be reckoned with as he takes millions from republican big money interests to build a gigantic net network of religious voters for a massive get out the vote effort on election day take this seriously. for example reid field tested his get out the vote operation in wisconsin during the recall election this year again scott walker and he sent flyers and text messages to get religious voters in his database to show up at the polls voter turnout was high during the recall election which democrats took as a sign they my when as it turned out they got creamed thanks in large part to ralph reed combined that was something we talked about on the show last night the increase in overt and blatant participation of churches in electoral campaigns and politics we're looking at a formidable religious political machine ready to be turned on at all to make romney president and help republicans keep the house and take the senate this is serious stuff for mo
but no matter how it's absurd you think a push poll comparing obama to hitler and castro may be make no mistake about it ralph reed is a force to be reckoned with as he takes millions from republican big money interests to build a gigantic net network of religious voters for a massive get out the vote effort on election day take this seriously. for example reid field tested his get out the vote operation in wisconsin during the recall election this year again scott walker and he sent flyers and...
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rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. curious how you missed that one poll. anyway, guess where the headline originated? "the onion." america's favorite source for fake news. another "onion" today. florida to experiment with 600-lever voting machine. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >>> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that performance is suitably titled obama works -- it. four justices now are in their 70s and the next president of the united states could reshape the balance of the court for decades to come, maybe 40 or 50 years. that's ahead. [ woman ] ring. ring. progresso. your new light creamy potato with bacon & cheese soup says it's 100 calories a serving. that's right. in what world do potatoes, bacon and cheese add up to 100 calories? your world. my world. ♪ [ whispers ] real bacon... creamy cheese... [ whispers ] 100 calories... say it again... [ whispers ] 100 calories... ma'am, hello? ma'am [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. like in a special ops mission? you'd spot movement, gather intellig
rural whites prefer ahmadinejad to obama. curious how you missed that one poll. anyway, guess where the headline originated? "the onion." america's favorite source for fake news. another "onion" today. florida to experiment with 600-lever voting machine. >> i'm barack obama and i party. ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >>> that guy behind the mask is one hell of a dancer. that performance is suitably titled obama works -- it. four justices now are in their 70s and the next...
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in pennsylvania, that poll has president obama up by 12 points. there are other smaller and more locapolls th have the nnanndriodightly sller in but those other polls also show president obama winning in the swing states. a new ppp poll in iowa today shows president obama leading in iowa by seven points. a grievous marketing poll in colorado showing president obama leading in colorado by four tilyest a seen his lead rebound in recent days. in the gallup daily tracking point, he initially got a six-point bounce out of the democratic convention. that lead evorated in the days that followed, but now as you can see, preside obama has regained that six-point leads ifjuid cnt all over again. with just 41 days left until the election, a snapshot of the race is very clear. in fact, we do these polls every day and it's almost starting to seem stic at the presidential level. the swing ste pos th we do every day, pretty much the map always look like this. president obama leading in all of the swing states or at least leading in almost all of them. a standard
in pennsylvania, that poll has president obama up by 12 points. there are other smaller and more locapolls th have the nnanndriodightly sller in but those other polls also show president obama winning in the swing states. a new ppp poll in iowa today shows president obama leading in iowa by seven points. a grievous marketing poll in colorado showing president obama leading in colorado by four tilyest a seen his lead rebound in recent days. in the gallup daily tracking point, he initially got a...
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there are lots of polls, but certain polls show the public expects obama to win this debate. but you point out in your piece that the obama team was to at least convince people that these date d debates really don't matter. why is that? >> it is interesting that they're trying to spin things that way. my theory is that they're worried that because the president's reputation as a fantastic speaker and he is a good speaker that the audience will be tuning in expecting to see obama win. and if romney just holds his own, if he just lands a few punches, then the audience might actually think that romney won. so i suspect team obama is trying to lower expectations trying to say the debates don't matter precisely because they're worried that mitt romney will do a good job. >> speaking of throwing punches, let's go back to primary season, it was mitt romney really in his big win taking florida that was quite impressive for the former massachusetts governor. let me just -- in case we have forgotten his abilities, take a look. >> i want people to be able to take their insurance with th
there are lots of polls, but certain polls show the public expects obama to win this debate. but you point out in your piece that the obama team was to at least convince people that these date d debates really don't matter. why is that? >> it is interesting that they're trying to spin things that way. my theory is that they're worried that because the president's reputation as a fantastic speaker and he is a good speaker that the audience will be tuning in expecting to see obama win. and...